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  • National identifications, cues from political actors, and cost-benefit calculations have been pointed as the main determinants of secession preferences. However, a recent surge in independence support in Scotland suggests that abrupt political changes may also affect these preferences: Brexit and the differentiated management of the Covid-19 pandemic by the UK and the Scottish governments are named as causes of the first independence sustained majority registered by polling in Scotland. In this article, I discuss how voting shocks may affect the levels of support for independence, revise the evidence that sustains these claims, and analyse how they have changed the profile of the pro-independence voter. The effect of these questions has substantial implications for a possible second independence referendum in Scotland, as well as for the broader debate on the sources of secession support. (xsd:string)
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  • 2021 (xsd:gyear)
?:datePublished
  • 2021 (xsd:gyear)
?:doi
  • 10.17645/pag.v9i4.4571 ()
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  • en (xsd:string)
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?:issn
  • 2183-2463 ()
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  • 4 (xsd:string)
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  • Valence Secession? Voting Shocks and Independence Support in Scotland (xsd:string)
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  • Zeitschriftenartikel (xsd:string)
  • journal_article (en)
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  • GESIS-SSOAR (xsd:string)
  • In: Politics and Governance, 9, 2021, 4, 399-411 (xsd:string)
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  • 9 (xsd:string)