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How did the global financial and economic crisis and the policy responses implemented by the German federal government affect the outcome of the German federal elections 2009? Based on the literature of economic voting, this paper develops hypotheses for the impact of the economic crisis and the anti-crisis policies in the German context. It asks whether voters punished incumbent parties for the worsened economical conditions or rather voted based on party expertise. To test these hypotheses, the paper employs data at the constituency and the voter-level and uses information about the actual regional economic situation, such as changes in local unemployment rates. The short-time work ratios of constituencies are used to assess the positive or negative effect of this anti-crisis policy on voters, as the German government relied extensively on short-time work to mitigate the employment effects of the financial crisis. The results show that a reward-punishment mechanism dominated partisan voting behavior. Where unemployment rates increased incumbent parties lost votes, whereas they improved their results when short-time work rates were higher. This implies that the incumbent parties were able to use specific employment policies to bolster their election results. The findings underscore the importance of economic issues in the German elections 2009.
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GLES-Bibliography
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1. Fassung, April 2012
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Unemployment, Short-Time Work and Voting in the German Federal Elections 2009
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inproceedings
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?:reference
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6. General Conference of the European Consortium for Political Research (ECPR)
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Bibsonomy
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In 6. General Conference of the European Consortium for Political Research (ECPR), 2011
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25.08.-27.08.2011
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German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES)
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2011
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FDZ_Wahlen
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GLES
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GLES_input2011
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GLES_pro
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GLES_version1
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checked
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inproceedings
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