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A substantial number of recent studies have shown that economic perceptions are influenced by partisanship (e.g., party identification, party affect, or party preference in previous elections). Despite these results research on economic voting in Germany has ignored the exact causal interdependency between economic perceptions and party preferences. It is highly plausible that German voters, like voters in other countries, use partisanship as perceptual screen. Political preferences should have an impact on economic evaluations or responsibility attributions for the economic situation. This contribution focuses on German federal elections between 1994 and 2013. Cross sectional as well as long-term and short-term panel studies of the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES) and previous federal elections offer a host of opportunities to analyze short-term dynamics during the campaign as well as long-term trends and developments over up to three consecutive federal elections. By using cross section data the paper finds that partisans adjust their perceptions of the economy after federal elections, depending on government or opposition status of their party, confirming findings on other countries. Results on short-term and long-term panel surveys indicate that there is no general causal relationship for all voters between party attachment and economic evaluations, but if there is one, there is more supporting evidence for party identification to work as a perceptual screen coloring economic evaluations.
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?:author
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GLES-Bibliography
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4. Fassung, Februar 2015
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?:name
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The interdependency between economic perceptions and party preferences in Germany
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inproceedings
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?:reference
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72. Annual National Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association (MPSA)
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Bibsonomy
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In 72. Annual National Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association (MPSA), 2014
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03.04.-06.04.2014
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German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES)
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2014
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FDZ_Wahlen
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GLES
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GLES_input2014
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GLES_pro
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GLES_version4
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ZA5302
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ZA5702
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ZA5704
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checked
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inproceedings
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