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The good result of the 'Alternative für Deutschland (AfD)' that within months after its foundation brought it close to passing the five-percent-threshold and thus almost into the Bundestag was one of the most striking outcomes of the 2013 German Federal Election. In all subsequent second-order elections the AfD gained enough votes to obtain parliamentary mandates. Based on data collected by the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES) the paper explores why AfD supporters preferred this party at the 2013 Federal Election and at the 2014 European and East German State Elections. Findings suggest that at the Federal Election the electorate of the AfD was composed of two groups: a minority of instrumental issue-voters that had made up their minds already long before the election and were mainly drawn to the AfD by its emphasis and positioning on the Euro crisis, and a majority of 'late supporters' that decided close to or even on Election Day itself and were rather moved by expressive motives, most notably xenophobic sentiments like those identified in other European countries as one of the main sources of support for right-wing populist parties. The analysis of the four elections held in 2014 shows that, paralleling developments in the AfD's public rhetoric, the instrumental component related to the Euro crisis ceased to be important for the party's support at the polls whereas xenophobic motives became more central.
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GLES-Bibliography
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5. Fassung, März 2016
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Finally a right-wing populist party in Germany? The unexpected success of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) in the light of the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES)
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inproceedings
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Paper presented at the School of Social Sciences of the University of Auckland
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Bibsonomy
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In Paper presented at the School of Social Sciences of the University of Auckland, 2015
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German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES)
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2015
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FDZ_Wahlen
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GLES
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GLES_input2015
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GLES_pro
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GLES_version5
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checked
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inproceedings
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