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"Does income poverty reduce political participation? The negative link between low socio-economic status and all forms of political participation is a classic finding dating back to the early days of empirical political science. However, producing causal evidence demonstrating that poverty per se—rather than the low education levels or general lack of resources that usually accompany poverty—causes the observed drop in participation has proven exceedingly difficult. This paper revisits the debate, drawing on new research that highlights the deleterious psychological effects of poverty. A natural experiment causing variation in income poverty allows for causal inference. I exploit the fact that the effective length of months varies in an unpredictable fashion depending on the distribution of bank working days throughout the year. This means that individuals in certain months will have to make do with the same salary for up to three days longer. Among the relatively poor, the additional days cause a marked increase in financial difficulties, especially towards the end of the month. I analyze the causal effect of these acute income shortages. Drawing on data from over 3 million individuals and 1,100 elections in Germany, I document reductions in both turnout intentions and turnout. Effect sizes are substantial, ranging between 2 and 6 percentage points. Qualitative evidence from personal interviews confirm the debilitating effect of income shortages on participation: income deprivation is most extreme at the end of the month, and leaves individuals stressed, unmotivated, and socially isolated, taking away their perceived capability to politically engage. The findings have important implications for the scheduling of election days and the political representation of the poor." Die ALLBUS-Daten aus dem Jahr 1980 bis 2016 werden als Hauptdatensätze für die Analyse verwendet.
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http://maxschaub.eu/documents/schaub2020poverty.pdf. (ALLBUS)
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ALLBUS-Bibliography
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Aufgenommen: 35. Fassung, Dezember 2020
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Does poverty reduce turnout? Causal evidence from the sequencing of bank working days
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2020
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ALLBUS
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ALLBUS_input2020
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ALLBUS_pro
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ALLBUS_version35
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ALLBUSkum1980-2016
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FDZ_ALLBUS
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GLES_contra
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PB_contra
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checked
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datfeld
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english
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jak
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techreport
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transfer20
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vttrans
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