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  • People’s generation may have become one of the core predictors of their vote choice. This study examines this hypothesis across 21 Western established democracies between 1948 and 2021. An age-period-cohort analysis on 258 national election surveys (N=462.084) reveals that the most recent generations are much less likely to vote for the major right-wing party in two-party systems. In multi-party systems, the gradual decline of Christian democratic parties has been largely driven by the generational replacement of pre-WW2 cohorts. Social democratic and conservative parties may face a challenge in future decades because their support is particularly low among the most recent generations whereas liberal, socialist, and particularly green parties stand to gain from generational replacement. Far-right parties have been least popular among voters who came of age during the 1930s and 1940s. A small life-cycle effect points out that people over the age of 65 vote slightly more conservative. (xsd:string)
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  • (GLES) (xsd:string)
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  • 14. Fassung, Dezember 2024 (xsd:gyear)
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  • 2024 (xsd:gyear)
?:datePublished
  • 2024 (xsd:gyear)
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  • 10.3389/fpos.2024.1279888 ()
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  • 1 (xsd:string)
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  • english (xsd:string)
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  • 2673-3145 ()
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  • Electoral change through generational replacement: An age-period-cohort analysis of vote choice across 21 countries between 1948 and 2021 (xsd:string)
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  • article (xsd:string)
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  • Bibsonomy (xsd:string)
  • In Frontiers in Political Science, 6, 1-18, 2024 (xsd:string)
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  • German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES) (xsd:string)
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  • 2024 (xsd:string)
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  • GLES (xsd:string)
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  • 18 (xsd:string)
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  • 20.12.2024 (xsd:gyear)
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  • 6 (xsd:string)