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As the world peers into the crystal ball era of Brexit and President Trump, it has become clear that we need to talk about populism. These days, parties and politicians articulating what are regarded as populist views are to be found in established democracies globally, sparking questions about whether we are witnessing a populist wave. A vexing question, however, is do so-called populist sentiments shape vote choice? Relying on data from Ireland and the United States, both of which fielded the CSES Module 5 that focuses on populist feelings and vote choice in 2016, we show that populism motivated voters in both countries, illustrating support for the premise that so-called populist views are an important stimulus for voters. Our analysis also demonstrates that the old reliables – economic perceptions, partisanship, and socio-demographics remained omnipresent, suggesting a sole focus on populism for the success of Donald Trump in the US or Sinn Fein in Ireland is overblown. Further, the populist sentiments motivating vote choice in the United States were quite different from those that influenced voters in Ireland, which might be thought to mirror distinctions between left and right conceptions of populism. It implies that context profoundly conditions populism and that maybe even the “chameleon” metaphor over claims coherence for the term.
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CSES-Bibliography
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A Populist Wave or Metamorphosis of a Chameleon? Populist attitudes and the vote in 2016
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inproceedings
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Elections, Parties, and Public Opinion in a Volatile World: A Comparative Perspective
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Bibsonomy
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In Elections, Parties, and Public Opinion in a Volatile World: A Comparative Perspective, 2017
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Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES)
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2017
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CSES
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