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?:abstract
  • This paper addresses attitudes toward nuclear power in Germany in the context of the Fukushima accident and the subsequent policy shift of the government towards a nuclear phase-out. Building on the notion that the policy shift resulted from a cost-benefit calculus, we first outline assumptions concerning public attitudes toward nuclear power and their prospective impact on voting behavior. Utilizing individual data from online and CATI surveys before and after the Fukushima accident, the analysis examines the evolution of attitudes to nuclear power and perceptions of the governmental policy shift. We find that public attitudes toward nuclear power became much more negative after the Fukushima disaster, particularly among CDU/CSU and FDP identifiers. In line with the notion of motivated reasoning, these subgroups of the electorate were particularly inclined to perceive a – credible – change in the government’s stance toward nuclear power, whereas adherents of opposition parties were rather skeptical. As a consequence, by switching towards an anti-nuclear stance, the government virtually could not manage to garner votes from former oppositional voters. In contrast, the shift rather inhibited governmental voters from voting for other parties. In effect, the case study suggests that party elites were successful in responding to an external event and accompanying changes in public opinion to avoid prospective vote losses. (xsd:string)
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  • GLES-Bibliography (xsd:string)
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  • 3. Fassung, März 2014 (xsd:gyear)
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  • 2013 (xsd:gyear)
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  • 2013 (xsd:gyear)
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  • The Fukushima disaster, party responses, and the German electorate (xsd:string)
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  • inproceedings (xsd:string)
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  • Jahrestagung des DVPW-Arbeitskreises Wahlen und politische Einstellungen 2013 (xsd:string)
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  • Bibsonomy (xsd:string)
  • In Jahrestagung des DVPW-Arbeitskreises Wahlen und politische Einstellungen 2013, 2013 (xsd:string)
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  • 06.06.-07.06.2013 (xsd:gyear)
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  • German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES) (xsd:string)
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  • 2013 (xsd:string)
  • FDZ_Wahlen (xsd:string)
  • GLES (xsd:string)
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