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Whereas political parties were able to rely on strong voter bases for years, weakened linkages between parties, groups and individuals and a general lower turnout nowadays leave political parties more and more uncertain about their voter bases. As a general observance when taking a look at random selection results in Europe, social democratic parties, with a typically strong voter base within the working class, seem to suffer stronger from the new situations than parties of other ideological families do. What can partly be explained through the better social system, social equity and a decrease of the working class can also be accounted to the parties themselves. Taking evidence from former work on the situation of the German SPD after the federal elections in 2009 (Blumenberg, Kulick 2010) we argue in our paper, that social democratic parties in Europe also select the wrong tactics to win their former voters back and to keep the current voters, as they try to take up with old strategies where their supporters already adapted new political attitudes.
Transferring our hypothesis on the British “Labor Party” and the Dutch “Partij van de Arbeid” and using data provided by the CSES, we then split their current and former voters between long-term lost former voters, short-term lost former voters and loyal voters and analyze attitudes and social demographic structure of the groups. At last a comparison between former and loyal voters and their attitudes of these three political parties let us identify if the reasons to abandon the social democratic parties are the same in country comparison or not and how far the fall of social democratic parties can be explained by the wrong choice of electoral tactics.
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GLES-Bibliography
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3. Fassung, März 2014
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The Glory of the Past and the Sadness of Nowadays. The difficult relation between social democratic parties and their voters
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inproceedings
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107. Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association (APSA)
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Bibsonomy
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In 107. Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association (APSA), 2011
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01.09.-04-09.2011
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German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES)
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2011
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FDZ_Wahlen
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GLES
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GLES_pro
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GLES_version3
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ZA5302
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checked
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inproceedings
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