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Elections to the European Parliament (EP) have virtually no salience in their own right. These are elections at which no executive is elected, no government is at stake and, while the composition of the European Parliament undoubtedly matters for the governance of the European Union, parties do not campaign at EP elections by putting forward differing platforms of promises regarding what the parliament would do if their party were to ``win''. What salience these elections acquire comes from their use as ``barometers'' signalling what wo uld happen if the election were a national election at which real government power was at stake; and their importance in this regard varies with the timing of the European Parliament election in the national electoral cycles of member states. EP elections occur ring closely before national elections have considerable value as barometers, while EP elections occurring in the aftermath of national elections have no such value because the national election out - come is already known. So the importance of the ele ction is expected to vary in a predictable fash ion from one country to another, providing a quasi -experimental setting in which to study how voters react to differences in their own motivations and to the mobilizing activities of political parties. In this way we are able to explicate variations in turnout between EU member countries, and in particular the very low turnout seen in post-communist EU member states.
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Stimulus, response and turnout variations at a European Parliament election
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inproceedings
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Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association
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In Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, 1-22, 2010
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