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This paper analyzes the conditions under which a party's behavior reveals new information to voters about its policy preferences. We make the general argument that for voters to reconsider their beliefs about the position of a party, its decisions must reflect a choice among several options and the choice made must conflict with citizens' prior opinions about the party. Applying this logic to government formation processes, we predict that entering a cabinet coalition will change voter perceptions of a party's position only if the party joins a coalition that is not initially seen as the ideologically closest alternative. Otherwise, coalition participation simply con rms voters' priors about the party. We need robust empirical support for our claim using three complementary types of empirical evidence: aggregate-level analyses of party reputations in 5 Western European countries, individual panel data, and a quasi-experimental test.
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GLES-Bibliography
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6. Fassung, Januar 2017
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Choices that Matter: When Party Behavior Reveals Preferences to Voters
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German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES)
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2016
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FDZ_Wahlen
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GLES
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GLES_input2016
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GLES_pro
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GLES_version6
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checked
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techreport
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