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In the last two decades, the number of vote switchers has increased. This trend is particularly observable in multi-party systems. One under-researched dimension of this phenomenon is the impact of ambivalent political attitudes. Ambivalent voters who simultaneously hold positive attitudes toward more than one political party or leader may be particularly inclined to switch parties between elections. A closely related question, then, is how voters become politically ambivalent. To understand the underlying causes, this paper focuses on two paths of explaining how voters' considerations sets can become larger and thereby increase the likelihood of developing ambivalent attitudes. The first path addresses ideological distances between parties. It is argued that an increasing number of parties leads to ideological convergence among some parties. As a result, the overlap in policy content becomes greater and certain parties appear more similar. Comparing the positions of these parties would therefore not reveal too many differences from which a decision could be derived. The second path deals with tradeoffs between (1) a favorite party and a potential coalition partner and (2) a party and its leader. For example, a voter may be conflicted if she clearly prefers a party but disagrees with a potential coalition partner, or if her preferred party disagrees with her preferred candidate/leader. While both pathways are mainly relevant for multi-party systems, they also apply to some extent to two-party systems. For the empirical analysis, data from the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES) and the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES) are used.
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CSES-Bibliography
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The Ambivalent Voter: Investigating the Development of Ambivalent Political Attitudes and their Impact on Vote Switching in the Multi-Party Context
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inproceedings
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European Political Science Association (EPSA)
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Bibsonomy
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In European Political Science Association (EPSA), 2022
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Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES)
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2022
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CSES
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CSES_input2022
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CSES_pro
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english
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inproceedings
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transfer22
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