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Most studies on ideology congruence between citizens and representatives focus on electoral systems (Proportional vs Majoritarian), without consensual conclusions. With a multilevel analysis based on data of the Comparative Studies of Electoral Systems (CSES), we aim to understand the impact of 3 Independent Variables on ideological (mis)representation: electoral supply (availability of ideologically close candidates); voters perception of candidates ideology; and valence voting (when ideology closeness is simply not important for a voter decision). Compulsory Voting, which receive little attention from the specialized literature, is also addressed. We then perform an electoral "stepwise" analysis which compares the ideological distribution between 1- citizens and voters; 2- voters and votes (i.e., parties' ideology weighted by the shares of votes) and finally, 3 - votes and seats (each party now weighted by its share of seats), in order to confirm the results of the model above. Results suggest individual cognitive factors are more important to explain congruence than electoral systems, which show no effect either through ideological distortion between votes and seats (disproportionality) or through inadequate electoral supply. These findings suggest focusing on these cognitive factors (or at least controlling for them) and disentangling the noise from each electoral “step” could lead to more precise and longstanding conclusions.
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CSES-Bibliography
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From electoral supply to voter perceptions: a new framework to understand ideological congruence between people and representatives
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inproceedings
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Annual Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association (MPSA), 14-18 April 2021, virtual
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In Annual Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association (MPSA), 14-18 April 2021, virtual, 2021
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Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES)
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2021
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CSES
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CSES_input2021
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CSES_pro
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FDZ_IUP
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inproceedings
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jak
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transfer21
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