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Rodrik’s Trilemma rests on the incompatibility of democracy, national sovereignty and global economic integration: any two can be combined, but never all three simultaneously and in full. Addressing the same problématique, Dahrendorf´s Quandary posits that, over time, maintaining global economic competitiveness requires countries either to adopt measures detrimental to the cohesion of civil society, or to restrict civil liberties and political participation. The purpose of this paper is to examine the empirical foundations of Rodrik’s and Dahrendorf’s propositions. Assessing developed market economies from 1991 to 2014, evidence suggests that in only rare cases the Trilemma can be overcome, and the tensions the Quandary hypothesises build up to a significant extent. In most cases examined, however, the performance of the countries is too varied to support the broad claims Rodrik and Dahrendorf put forth in their respective writings. Specifically, next to the small group of five cases where either the Trilemma or the Quandary apply, there are twice as many countries that generally managed to grow moderately in terms of economic globalisation, liberal democracy, and social cohesion, while avoiding some of the tensions implied in the Quandary or reaching Trilemma conditions. For an even larger group of countries the evidence suggests that growing economic globalisation can co-exist with lower societal stressor levels.
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https://www.dahrendorf-forum.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/The-Rodrik-Trilemma-and-the-Dahrendorf-Quandary-.pdf. (EVS)
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The Rodrik Trilemma and the Dahrendorf Quandary: An Empirical Assessment
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(15), 2020
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European Values Study (EVS)
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2020
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