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  • We study the implications of post-treatment bias in the context of the globalization backlash. We discuss whether horse-race regressions can inform about the relative role of economic versus cultural drivers. We make three methodological points: (1) if and insofar as cultural variables are post-treatment with respect to economic factors, the estimates of the effect of economic shocks on voting are biased in regressions that include cultural controls (and vice versa); (2) for the same reason, such horse-race regressions do not allow to accurately estimate the relative role of economic versus cultural factors; (3) one cannot infer mediation effects from changes in regression coefficients for a given factor of interest before and after including post-treatment controls. We accompany the methodological discussion with empirical evidence on the relevance of post-treatment bias in studies of the globalization backlash, both by replicating and expanding on earlier studies, and by presenting novel cross-country results on the culture-economy nexus. (xsd:string)
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  • 2024 (xsd:gyear)
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  • 2024 (xsd:gyear)
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  • 10.1177/00104140241271124 ()
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  • 1552-3829 ()
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  • In Search of the Causes of the Globalization Backlash: Methodological Considerations on Post-treatment Bias (xsd:string)
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  • In Comparative Political Studies, 1-33, 2024 (xsd:string)
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