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https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-more-than-40-years-of-early-primary-polls-tell-us-about-2020-part-1/?
>
<
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-more-than-40-years-of-early-primary-polls-tell-us-about-2020-part-2/?
>
<
https://news.gallup.com/poll/10120/history-shows-january-frontrunner-often-does-win-democratic-nomination.aspx?
>
<
https://news.gallup.com/poll/103351/clinton-maintains-large-lead-over-obama-nationally.asp?
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2020-01-09
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National polls have never predicted who will be president from our party. Carter was in the single digits a few months before caucuses. Bill Clinton was. Obama — 20 points behind in the national polls roughly.
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