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https://medium.com/@alex.domash/history-suggests-a-high-chance-of-recession-over-the-next-24-months-78e38d468e05?
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https://medium.com/u/837242d30df9?source%3Dpost_page-----78e38d468e05--------------------------------
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https://www.barrons.com/articles/larry-summers-economy-fed-hard-landing-inflation-recession-51655402216?
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https://www.bostonglobe.com/2022/06/20/business/biden-says-us-recession-avoidable-after-call-with-ex-treasury-secretary-larry-summers/?
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https://www.hks.harvard.edu/publications/overcoming-small-n-problem?
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https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meet-press-june-19-2022-n129644?
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When you have unemployment below 4% and inflation above 4%, recession always follows within two years.
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