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  • 2022-12-20 (xsd:date)
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  • Did CDC Confirm That Thousands 'Died Suddenly' as a Result of COVID Vaccines? (en)
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  • A superficial analysis of publicly available data published by an anti-vaccine outlet named The Exposé went viral in December 2022. The piece, entitled CDC quietly confirms at least 118k Children & Young Adults have 'Died Suddenly' in the USA since the roll-out of the COVID Vaccines, frequently cited its own inability to find publicly available information as evidence of a nefarious plot, claiming that: The argument presented above rests solely on the observation that excess deaths — the number of deaths that exceed modeled estimates for that time period — did not immediately end or decline with the introduction of COVID-19 vaccines in 2021. Factually speaking, it is true that excess deaths did not immediately end or decline, but — logically speaking — this is lacking as an argument for causation. Though described as incredibly hard to find by The Exposé, these weekly mortality data have been publicly available for over a decade and are updated regularly. The CDC's data viewer allows a researcher to filter data by factors including age and, in some cases, cause of death. Using these features, The Exposé noted that: The fact that the year 2021 — a year in which COVID-19 vaccines existed — was by far and large the worst year for deaths among 0 to 44-year-olds has no bearing on the relationship between mortality and COVID-19 vaccination. A meaningful correlation would be between vaccination coverage and risk of mortality. As Health Feedback and others report, no such correlation exists. A November study in the Journal of the American Medical Association, for example, the 10 least-vaccinated U.S. states have nearly three times more excess mortality than the 10 most vaccinated states. Fundamentally, the CDC data are unable to answer any question related to a mortality risk from COVID-19 vaccination, and The Exposé knows this. Their strategy to combat this fact is to pivot to a completely different dataset from a completely different country. The data provided by the CDC, the outlet wrote, only gives us clues as to this being the case with so many deaths among young Americans. But further data published by the UK Government confirms it. In no world does the data published by the UK Government, which shows monthly non-COVID mortality rates by vaccination status among 18- to 39-year-olds, confirm or answer any question related to the excess mortality in the United States or its link to COVID vaccination. The Exposé's arguments rest on comparing mortality rates at different levels of vaccination across different months: Even if these data were equipped for such an analysis, these superficial arguments ignore well known statistical artifacts in mortality rate amongst differently vaccinated populations. As that dataset's source, the Office for National Statistics (ONS), explains: But, it should additionally be noted, The Exposé's argument in this figure makes use of partially vaccinated numbers that the ONS explicitly states are unreliable due to small numbers of deaths. Those unreliable numbers are marked with an X below: The Exposé's final argument based on ONS information stems from a dataset of mortality rates by vaccination status among children aged 10 to 14. These data are, in The Exposé's own words, cherry-picked, and the low number of deaths in this age group makes their explanatory power largely useless. Ultimately, The Exposé claims that figures provided by the Office for National Statistics ... are definitive proof that the Covid-19 injections increase a person's risk of dying. Which means the Covid-19 injections have been and are continuing to kill people.... This is why it should come as no surprise to find that a secret CDC report confirms half a million American children & young adults have died following the Covid vaccine roll-out. Those data, as we have shown above, say no such thing. As a result, the claim is ranked False. (en)
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