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President Donald Trump touted the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, as the biggest trade deal ever made shortly after signing it into law. BIGGEST TRADE DEAL EVER MADE, the USMCA, was signed yesterday and the Fake News Media barely mentioned it. They never thought it could be done. They have zero credibility! — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) January 30, 2020 His tweet built on past claims that the USMCA is the largest, most significant, modern and balanced trade agreement. The revised agreement mostly updates NAFTA, which has been in place since 1994 and was previously the largest U.S. trade deal ever signed. The USMCA adds significant changes for the auto industry and implements new policies on intellectual property protection, the Canadian dairy market, and labor and environmental standards. Trump overreaches by calling it the biggest trade deal ever made. For one, it’s not a trade agreement from scratch; it’s building off of NAFTA. And two, this neglects larger trade pacts across the world. In 2018, the European Union signed a trade agreement with Japan, covering a quarter of the global economy and 600 million people. Although the Trans-Pacific Partnership never came into force, it included the same three USMCA partners –– the United States, Canada and Mexico –– as well as nine other Pacific Rim countries and would have represented nations with 40% of global gross domestic product. Trump withdrew the United States from the pact his first week in office. Then there is the mammoth 1994 Uruguay Round trade talks, which included the United States and 122 other countries, kicking off the World Trade Organization. The initial membership of the WTO accounted for more than 90% of international trade in goods and services, found the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. The WTO now has more than 160 members, including China. Trump’s campaign pointed us to evidence that shows how substantial the USMCA is for the United States alone. The latest International Trade Administration data shows that total U.S. trade with Canada and Mexico (under NAFTA) is the largest of any U.S. free trade partners. As a percentage of total trade, Canada and Mexico account for about 30% of U.S. goods exports and imports, according to a 2019 Census Bureau report on top trading partners. Our ruling Trump tweeted that the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, or USMCA, is the biggest trade deal ever made. The deal is more incremental than Trump describes. It updates NAFTA and introduces changes for the auto industry and the United States’ access to Canada’s dairy market. It also implements new policies on intellectual property protection, labor and environmental standards and digital trade. In terms of U.S. trade deals, the USMCA replaces NAFTA as the biggest American deal. Overall, multiple other trade deals around the world eclipse the USMCA in terms of the number of countries involved and economic output. We rate this False.
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