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Editor’s Note: This item was updated March 22, 2019, with the rating changed from Half True to True, based on additional research and to remain consistent with past ratings given to similar claims. The budget battle is raging in Madison, where new Gov. Tony Evers is seeking to make his mark on the state and Republicans are making the case that fiscal policies enacted under all-GOP control are worth continuing. State Rep. John Nygren, R-Marinette, co-chair of the powerful budget-writing Joint Finance Committee, hammered that point in a string of tweets on Feb. 12, 2019, including one that claimed Wisconsin’s financial outlook is the strongest in a generation. But it was a tweet later in the string that caught our eye: Over the last eight years, we’ve shown that even though we’ve cut ... taxes by $8 billion, revenues continue to grow, Nygren said. Revenue generally comes from, well, taxes, so can one go up while the other goes down that much? Let’s see if the numbers add up. Revenues on the rise in recent years There are two parts to this claim — that taxes were cut by $8 billion and that revenues are growing. Tax cuts get complicated, so let’s warm up the revenue side of the equation. The nonpartisan Legislative Fiscal Bureau’s report on tax collections shows consistent growth in recent years. Going back eight years to 2010-’11 -- the period referenced in Nygren’s claim -- the state’s overall general fund tax collection has grown every year but one. The revenue increase was generally 3 to 4 percent annually, with the exception of 2013-’14. That year revenue dropped slightly after the Legislature implemented a series of tax cuts. Overall from 2010-’11 to 2017-’18, general fund tax collections rose from $12.9 billion to $16.1 billion. And they’re expected to rise to $16.6 billion in 2018-’19 according to the latest fiscal bureau estimate . So, yes, revenues have grown. Tax cut figure has drawn ‘True’ ratings before As proof of the $8 billion cut cited by Nygren, his staff provided a fiscal bureau memo that listed changes to a variety of taxes since 2011. They include things like health savings accounts, farm loss limit, sales tax exemptions and technical college funding. The chart tallies up the tax changes relative to the 2010-’11 level across the eight-year span. So if a tax dropped by $1 million the first year and stayed at that same level each of the next seven years, it is counted as an $8 million cut over the eight-year span — since the total is $8 million below where it would have been if the 2010-’11 level remained in place each year. The taxes paid in this simplified example would only get lower once, in the first year. But the approach used in the memo — and by Nygren — counts the savings generated each year relative to the 2010-’11 level. The tally shows $4.8 billion in reductions to income and franchise taxes and a $3.6 billion reduction in property taxes compared to the 2010-’11 baseline. The property tax reductions cited are not given directly to taxpayers, they are sent to local municipalities. Local officials could choose to cut property taxes by an identical amount and pass those savings on to taxpayers, but that doesn’t always happen. That property tax relief did reduce taxes that otherwise would have been paid, though. Experts disagree on whether it’s correct to call all these changes tax cuts, since it counts reductions in multiple years when the level of the tax is only cut once. But the net effect is to cut the amount of tax paid. And we’ve rated claims in this vein True in the past. In 2015, we rated then-Gov. Scott Walker’s statement True when he used the same approach from the fiscal bureau to refer to what was then $4.7 billion in tax cuts. We gave Walker another True in 2017 for referring to what would become $8 billion in tax cuts. And we gave Walker a True for using the figure on the campaign trail in June 2018, touting it as $8 billion in cumulative tax relief. Nygren’s verbiage calling that tally a tax cut differed from Walker’s statement in 2018 but is in line with how Walker referred to it in our 2015 and 2017 fact checks Our rating Nygren said under eight years of Republican leadership Wisconsin has cut taxes by $8 billion while revenues have risen. The revenues portion of the statement is clearly accurate. The tax cut element is a bit more nuanced, but the changes Republicans made did result in a net savings of $8 billion for taxpayers compared to if the 2010-’11 tax levels had remained in place. And we’ve rated very similar claims as True in the past. We rate Nygren’s statement True.
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